← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cameron Saaiman won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1489

Elo1495

Cameron SaaimanvsSteven KoslowUFC Prediction Result

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, December 10, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cameron Saaiman won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:13

Style matchupCameron Saaiman: Pressure fightervsSteven Koslow: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Cameron Saaiman wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Cameron Saaiman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cameron Saaiman at -285 American odds

+$35 profit

$135 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cameron Saaiman has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cameron Saaiman has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Steven Koslow (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Cameron Saaiman

Red Corner

Steven Koslow

Blue Corner

-285

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1489

Elo

1495

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cameron SaaimanL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23

KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Oct 23

KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24

KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25

latest

Steven KoslowNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cameron SaaimanMetricSteven Koslow

5.30

Strikes / min

0.77

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

51%

Strike defense

40%

0.89

TDs / 15 min

5.28

47%

Takedown defense

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 4.12 — meaningful gap-2.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cameron SaaimanSteven Koslow

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)Steven Koslow(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.1|Blue +6.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cameron SaaimanTargetSteven Koslow

By target zone

55% acc · 72%

Head

32% acc · 73%

64% acc · 17%

Body

50% acc · 9%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

46% acc · 43%

Distance

38% acc · 73%

82% acc · 17%

Clinch

33% acc · 9%

75% acc · 40%

Ground

40% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cameron Saaiman rounds

even

Steven Koslow rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control2:34

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 2Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:19

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:09Control

Round 3Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control2:36

3Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:52Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 89

Sig Strikes

11 / 29

55.7%

Sig Str %

37.7%

105 / 149

Total Strikes

20 / 42

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 9

—

TD %

68.7%

Sub Att

Rev

6:29

Ctrl Time

4:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Steven Koslow	3 / 7	7 / 12	1 / 1	0
1	Cameron Saaiman	4 / 9	20 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Steven Koslow	5 / 13	9 / 19	2 / 5	1
2	Cameron Saaiman	20 / 31	32 / 46	0 / 0	0
3	Steven Koslow	3 / 9	4 / 11	2 / 3	0
3	Cameron Saaiman	29 / 49	53 / 77	0 / 0	0

Cameron Saaiman

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Steven Koslow

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights1