Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Steve Garcia has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steve Garcia (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25 Steve Garcia
oldest →W
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 23W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
KOvs David Onama · Nov 25L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricSteve Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.14Δ 5.41 — meaningful gap+3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Calvin KattarSteve Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Steve Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -60.3|Blue +60.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Calvin KattarTargetSteve Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steve Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Steve Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Steve Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns0
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
