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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Calvin Kattar won · U-DEC R5

Elo1474

Elo1477

Calvin KattarvsGiga ChikadzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Saturday, January 15, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Calvin Kattar won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsGiga Chikadze: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Calvin Kattar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at -225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Calvin Kattar

Red Corner

Giga Chikadze

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1474

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Calvin KattarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22

KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24

vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25

vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25

latest

Giga ChikadzeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Edson Barboza · Aug 21

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Calvin KattarMetricGiga Chikadze

4.41

Strikes / min

3.75

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

54%

Strike defense

59%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.18

77%

Takedown defense

65%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.14Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Calvin KattarGiga Chikadze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Giga Chikadze(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.1|Blue +3.1

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Calvin KattarTargetGiga Chikadze

By target zone

127

34% acc · 88%

Head

32% acc · 73%

46% acc · 9%

Body

66% acc · 21%

80% acc · 3%

Leg

78% acc · 5%

By position

135

35% acc · 94%

Distance

127

37% acc · 99%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

70% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Calvin Kattar rounds

even

Giga Chikadze rounds

Round 1Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control3:19

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 2Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:08

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:08

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:02

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

144 / 402

Sig Strikes

128 / 347

38.8%

Sig Str %

37.2%

157 / 418

Total Strikes

129 / 348

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

37.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:42

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Giga Chikadze	8 / 19	9 / 20	0 / 0	0
1	Calvin Kattar	4 / 7	17 / 23	1 / 1	1
2	Giga Chikadze	38 / 99	38 / 99	0 / 0	0
2	Calvin Kattar	28 / 81	28 / 81	1 / 2	0
3	Giga Chikadze	22 / 67	22 / 67	0 / 0	0
3	Calvin Kattar	25 / 87	25 / 87	0 / 1	0
4	Calvin Kattar	36 / 102	36 / 102	0 / 3	0
4	Giga Chikadze	28 / 70	28 / 70	0 / 0	0
5	Giga Chikadze	32 / 92	32 / 92	0 / 0	0
5	Calvin Kattar	51 / 125	51 / 125	0 / 0	0

Calvin Kattar

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12