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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Calvin Kattar won · U-DEC R5

Elo1474

Elo1485

Calvin KattarvsDan IgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Calvin Kattar won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsDan Ige: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Calvin Kattar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at +220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Calvin Kattar has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Calvin Kattar

Red Corner

Dan Ige

Blue Corner

-286

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1474

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Calvin KattarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22

KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24

vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25

vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25

latest

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Calvin KattarMetricDan Ige

4.41

Strikes / min

3.60

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

54%

Strike defense

56%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.93

77%

Takedown defense

56%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.14Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Calvin KattarDan Ige

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.7|Blue +11.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Calvin KattarTargetDan Ige

By target zone

33% acc · 67%

Head

25% acc · 44%

59% acc · 18%

Body

65% acc · 36%

94% acc · 15%

Leg

77% acc · 20%

By position

40% acc · 90%

Distance

38% acc · 98%

33% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

43% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Calvin Kattar rounds

even

Dan Ige rounds

Round 1Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:39

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:19

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 5Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:08

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 260

Sig Strikes

84 / 218

40%

Sig Str %

38.4%

107 / 262

Total Strikes

87 / 221

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 9

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:06

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dan Ige	13 / 36	16 / 39	0 / 1
1	Calvin Kattar	20 / 46	20 / 46	1 / 1
2	Dan Ige	18 / 45	18 / 45	0 / 0
2	Calvin Kattar	15 / 39	15 / 39	0 / 0
3	Dan Ige	20 / 49	20 / 49	0 / 1
3	Calvin Kattar	21 / 63	21 / 63	0 / 0
4	Calvin Kattar	21 / 57	22 / 58	0 / 0
4	Dan Ige	16 / 36	16 / 36	0 / 4
5	Dan Ige	17 / 52	17 / 52	0 / 3
5	Calvin Kattar	28 / 55	29 / 56	0 / 0

Calvin Kattar

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21