Featherweight

3 Rounds

Calvin Kattar won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1474

Elo1386

Calvin KattarvsChris FishgoldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Calvin Kattar won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:11

Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsChris Fishgold: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Calvin Kattar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Calvin Kattar at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Calvin Kattar has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Calvin Kattar has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Calvin Kattar

Red Corner

Chris Fishgold

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1474

Elo

1386

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Calvin KattarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22

KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24

vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25

vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25

latest

Chris FishgoldL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Daniel Teymur · Feb 19

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jun 19

vs Jared Gordon · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Calvin KattarMetricChris Fishgold

4.41

Strikes / min

2.01

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

54%

Strike defense

46%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

2.59

77%

Takedown defense

44%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.14Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Calvin KattarChris Fishgold

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Chris Fishgold(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +87.2|Blue -87.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -46.7|Blue +46.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Calvin KattarTargetChris Fishgold

By target zone

49% acc · 96%

Head

23% acc · 70%

100% acc · 4%

Body

25% acc · 5%

Leg

56% acc · 25%

By position

49% acc · 71%

Distance

27% acc · 95%

Clinch

20% acc · 5%

54% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Calvin Kattar rounds

even

Chris Fishgold rounds

Round 1Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:33Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 48

Sig Strikes

20 / 75

50%

Sig Str %

26%

29 / 56

Total Strikes

20 / 75

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Fishgold	20 / 75	20 / 75	1 / 2	0
1	Calvin Kattar	24 / 48	29 / 56	0 / 0	0

Calvin Kattar

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15

Chris Fishgold

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4