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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Caludia Gadelha won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Elo1494

Caludia GadelhavsRanda MarkosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Saturday, July 6, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Caludia Gadelha won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Caludia Gadelha wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Caludia Gadelha wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Caludia Gadelha at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Caludia Gadelha
Red Corner
VS
Randa Markos
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1492
Elo
1494
30
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Caludia GadelhaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Randa Markos
oldest →
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20
L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20
L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21
W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Caludia GadelhaMetricRanda Markos
—
Strikes / min
2.97
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
—
Strike defense
58%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.12
—
Takedown defense
52%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1502Strikes3.2 vs 3.0Takedowns3.3 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.30Form0.0 vs 0.3
Caludia GadelhaRanda Markos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Caludia Gadelha(1 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +47.6|Blue -47.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Caludia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights1

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights17