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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Song Kenan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Callan Potter
Elo1497

Callan PottervsSong KenanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Saturday, February 22, 2020Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Song Kenan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:20

Style matchupCallan Potter: WrestlervsSong Kenan: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Callan Potter wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Song Kenan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Callan Potter at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Song Kenan is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Callan Potter has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Callan Potter has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Callan Potter
Red Corner
VS
Song Kenan
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1492
Elo
1497
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Callan Potter
oldest →
L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Feb 19
W
vs Maki Pitolo · Oct 19
latest
Song Kenan
oldest →
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · Mar 23
W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23
L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23
W
vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Callan PotterMetricSong Kenan
3.18
Strikes / min
4.49
4.72
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
58%
Strike defense
51%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
0.42
100%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.54evenly matched on net striking-1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1532Strikes3.2 vs 4.1Takedowns2.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.5
Callan PotterSong Kenan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Callan Potter(3 fights)Song Kenan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -4.7|Blue +4.7
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Callan PotterTargetSong Kenan

By target zone

6
43% acc · 86%
Head
12
41% acc · 71%
1
100% acc · 14%
Body
5
83% acc · 29%
0
Leg
0

By position

5
42% acc · 71%
Distance
14
48% acc · 82%
2
67% acc · 29%
Clinch
2
40% acc · 12%
0
Ground
1
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Callan Potter rounds
0
even
1
Song Kenan rounds
Round 1Song Kenan edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:03
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
7 / 15
Sig Strikes
17 / 35
46%
Sig Str %
48%
8 / 17
Total Strikes
21 / 40
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Song Kenan17 / 3521 / 400 / 00
1Callan Potter7 / 158 / 171 / 10

Callan Potter

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3

Song Kenan

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11