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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jalin Turner won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Callan Potter
Elo1507
Jalin Turner editorial illustration

Callan PottervsJalin TurnerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Saturday, February 9, 2019Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:53

Style matchupCallan Potter: WrestlervsJalin Turner: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jalin Turner wins(64.8%)

Actual result: Jalin Turner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jalin Turner at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jalin Turner is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Callan Potter has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Callan Potter has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Callan Potter has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jalin Turner (53.5%).
  • Jalin Turner has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Callan Potter
Red Corner
VS
Jalin Turner
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
1492
Elo
1507
42
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Callan Potter
oldest →
W
vs Maki Pitolo · Oct 19
L
KOvs Song Kenan · Feb 20
latest
Jalin Turner
oldest →
L
vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23
W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24
L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25
W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Callan PotterMetricJalin Turner
3.18
Strikes / min
5.79
4.72
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
58%
Strike defense
41%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
0.75
100%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.54Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1485Strikes— vs 31.0Takedowns— vs 0.0Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -0.9
Callan PotterJalin Turner

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Callan Potter(3 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.8|Blue +14.8
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Callan PotterTargetJalin Turner

By target zone

1
50% acc · 33%
Head
6
43% acc · 67%
0
Body
3
100% acc · 33%
2
100% acc · 67%
Leg
0

By position

3
75% acc · 100%
Distance
5
42% acc · 56%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 11%
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Callan Potter rounds
0
even
1
Jalin Turner rounds
Round 1Jalin Turner edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 4
Sig Strikes
9 / 17
75%
Sig Str %
52%
3 / 4
Total Strikes
9 / 17
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jalin Turner9 / 179 / 170 / 00
1Callan Potter3 / 43 / 40 / 10

Callan Potter

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14