Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Youssef Zalal has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Billy Quarantillo
oldest →L
vs Shane Burgos · Nov 21W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24 latest Youssef Zalal
oldest →W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25L
DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Billy QuarantilloMetricYoussef Zalal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.61evenly matched on net striking+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Billy QuarantilloYoussef Zalal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -32.9|Blue +32.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -791.0|Blue +791.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Billy QuarantilloTargetYoussef Zalal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Billy Quarantillo rounds
Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:21
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.