Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Barez
oldest →L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Jul 23W
vs Victor Altamirano · Sep 24L
DECvs Luis Gurule · May 26 Andre Lima
oldest →W
vs Igor Severino · Mar 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Jun 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 24L
DECvs Kevin Borjas · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel BarezMetricAndre Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.30Δ 3.87 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel BarezAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Barez(4 fights)Andre Lima(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -44.3|Blue +44.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel BarezTargetAndre Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andre Lima edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:17
47Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Andre Lima edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
56Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:57Control
Round 3Andre Lima edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
