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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1530

Elo1528

Sean StricklandvsAbus MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Saturday, July 1, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:20

Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsAbus Magomedov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Strickland at -162 American odds

+$62 profit

$162 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Abus Magomedov has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Strickland

Red Corner

Abus Magomedov

Blue Corner

-162

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+136

(42%)

1530

Elo

1528

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Abus Magomedov

oldest →

vs Warlley Alves · May 24

SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Oct 24

vs Michel Pereira · Apr 25

SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 25

SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean StricklandMetricAbus Magomedov

5.98

Strikes / min

3.07

4.53

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

60%

Strike defense

55%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

2.61

68%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.45Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean StricklandAbus Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean Strickland(10 fights)Abus Magomedov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean StricklandTargetAbus Magomedov

By target zone

43% acc · 99%

Head

31% acc · 45%

50% acc · 1%

Body

70% acc · 34%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

40% acc · 83%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

Clinch

70% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean Strickland rounds

even

Abus Magomedov rounds

Round 1Abus Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes70

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 188

Sig Strikes

47 / 101

36%

Sig Str %

44.5%

81 / 188

Total Strikes

47 / 101

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abus Magomedov	32 / 60	32 / 60	1 / 2
1	Sean Strickland	11 / 48	11 / 48	0 / 0
2	Abus Magomedov	15 / 41	15 / 41	0 / 0
2	Sean Strickland	70 / 140	70 / 140	0 / 0

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25

Abus Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights8