Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Dec 19L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22 Court McGee
oldest →W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Jan 22L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricCourt McGee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.84evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt BrownCourt McGee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Court McGee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.0|Blue -6.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt BrownTargetCourt McGee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Brown edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:57Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
