Lightweight

3 Rounds

Fares Ziam won · U-DEC

Elo1490

Elo1528

Jamie MullarkeyvsFares ZiamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, October 17, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Fares Ziam won

U-DEC

Style matchupJamie Mullarkey: WrestlervsFares Ziam: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey wins(73.3%)

Actual result: Fares Ziam wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamie Mullarkey at -137 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Fares Ziam has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jamie Mullarkey

Red Corner

Fares Ziam

Blue Corner

-137

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1490

Elo

1528

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamie Mullarkey

oldest →

vs John Makdessi · Sep 23

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24

vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25

SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26

latest

Fares Ziam

oldest →

vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24

KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24

vs Mike Davis · Feb 25

KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25

DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamie MullarkeyMetricFares Ziam

4.10

Strikes / min

2.87

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

1.53

54%

Strike defense

65%

2.46

TDs / 15 min

1.73

70%

Takedown defense

71%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamie MullarkeyFares Ziam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -37.6|Blue +37.6

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamie MullarkeyTargetFares Ziam

By target zone

14% acc · 35%

Head

45% acc · 72%

25% acc · 10%

Body

100% acc · 9%

85% acc · 55%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

28% acc · 90%

Distance

49% acc · 74%

29% acc · 10%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

Ground

67% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamie Mullarkey rounds

even

Fares Ziam rounds

Round 1Fares Ziam edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:31

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 2Jamie Mullarkey edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:31

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jamie Mullarkey edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns2

Control3:54

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 72

Sig Strikes

47 / 89

24.3%

Sig Str %

54%

29 / 84

Total Strikes

54 / 98

5 / 11

TDs

1 / 5

44.3%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

6:56

Ctrl Time

1:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Fares Ziam	22 / 46	22 / 46	1 / 3
1	Jamie Mullarkey	11 / 40	11 / 40	1 / 3
2	Fares Ziam	13 / 21	16 / 25	0 / 1
2	Jamie Mullarkey	8 / 25	14 / 33	2 / 4
3	Fares Ziam	12 / 22	16 / 27	0 / 1
3	Jamie Mullarkey	1 / 7	4 / 11	2 / 4

Jamie Mullarkey

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Fares Ziam

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11