Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Maguire has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Maguire has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MaguireL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13 Justin EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13L
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jan 14L
SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MaguireMetricJustin Edwards
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.03evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John MaguireJustin Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Maguire(5 fights)Justin Edwards(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.6|Blue +2.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.6|Blue -48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John MaguireTargetJustin Edwards
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns4
Control3:29
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2John Maguire edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:43
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3John Maguire edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:05
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
