Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Aleksei Kunchenko has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Aleksei Kunchenko has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Aleksei Kunchenko
oldest →W
vs Thiago Alves · Sep 18W
vs Yushin Okami · Dec 18L
DECvs Elizeu Dos Santos · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricAleksei Kunchenko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gilbert BurnsAleksei Kunchenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Aleksei Kunchenko(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +83.8|Blue -83.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gilbert BurnsTargetAleksei Kunchenko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Aleksei Kunchenko rounds
Round 1Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:07
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:46
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 3Aleksei Kunchenko edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control2:05
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
