Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman Dolidze
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 24W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25 Christian Leroy DuncanW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
DECvs Jared Cannonier · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman DolidzeMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roman DolidzeChristian Leroy Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.8|Blue +79.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roman DolidzeTargetChristian Leroy Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
Round 1Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control2:33
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:33
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:01
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
