Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Ketlen Vieira
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25W
DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricKetlen Vieira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmKetlen Vieira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.1|Blue +17.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +413.0|Blue -413.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetKetlen Vieira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ketlen Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control3:36
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:46
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control2:50
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 4Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:09
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control1:42
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
