Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Shawn Jordan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Matt Mitrione has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Shawn Jordan has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (54.1%).
- Matt Mitrione has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Schaub · Sep 13W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16 Shawn Jordan
oldest →L
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Oct 13W
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · Oct 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt MitrioneMetricShawn Jordan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.76Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt MitrioneShawn Jordan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Mitrione(10 fights)Shawn Jordan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -134.4|Blue +134.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt MitrioneTargetShawn Jordan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Mitrione edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
