Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nikita Krylov threatens submissions; Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Magomed Ankalaev has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Magomed Ankalaev
oldest →W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25W
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricMagomed Ankalaev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77evenly matched on net striking+1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovMagomed Ankalaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.6|Blue +52.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetMagomed Ankalaev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:44
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Magomed Ankalaev edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 3Magomed Ankalaev edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
