Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Jul 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricWalt Harris
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +90.9|Blue -90.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetWalt Harris
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control0:31
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
