Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
- Cyrille Diabate has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cyrille Diabate
oldest →W
vs Steve Cantwell · Mar 11L
SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11W
SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13 Ilir Latifi
oldest →L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cyrille DiabateMetricIlir Latifi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.28Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cyrille DiabateIlir Latifi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -144.2|Blue +144.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cyrille DiabateTargetIlir Latifi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
