Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Ortiz
oldest →W
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 16L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19 Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin OrtizMetricAlexandre Pantoja
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin OrtizAlexandre Pantoja
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -31.4|Blue +31.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -20.0|Blue +20.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin OrtizTargetAlexandre Pantoja
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Alexandre Pantoja rounds
Round 1Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:42
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:54Control
Round 2Dustin Ortiz edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns4
Control2:41
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3Dustin Ortiz edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control1:28
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
