Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walel Watson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walel Watson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joseph Sandoval has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Joseph Sandoval has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Walel Watson has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Sandoval (53.5%).
- Walel Watson has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walel WatsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Yves Jabouin · Dec 11L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Feb 12L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 12 Joseph Sandoval
oldest →L
KOvs Nick Denis · Jan 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walel WatsonMetricJoseph Sandoval
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.69Δ 8.61 — meaningful gap-10.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walel Watson(4 fights)Joseph Sandoval(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Walel WatsonTargetJoseph Sandoval
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Walel Watson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns2
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
