Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Kampmann has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Shields
oldest →L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Sep 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 13L
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 14 Martin KampmannL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Thiago Alves · Mar 12W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 12L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Nov 12L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake ShieldsMetricMartin Kampmann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.65evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake ShieldsMartin Kampmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Shields(7 fights)Martin Kampmann(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.9|Blue -137.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.3|Blue -48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake ShieldsTargetMartin Kampmann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:36
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control2:54
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 3Martin Kampmann edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:59
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
