Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cub Swanson has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26 Billy Quarantillo
oldest →L
vs Shane Burgos · Nov 21W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricBilly Quarantillo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +22.6|Blue -22.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cub SwansonTargetBilly Quarantillo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Billy Quarantillo rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Billy Quarantillo edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:09
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:38Control
Round 3Cub Swanson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
