Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Damian Grabowski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Chase Sherman has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damian GrabowskiL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 16L
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Jul 16 Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damian GrabowskiMetricChase Sherman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.65Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Damian GrabowskiChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damian Grabowski(3 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -97.7|Blue +97.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +287.0|Blue -287.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Damian GrabowskiTargetChase Sherman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chase Sherman edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chase Sherman edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Chase Sherman edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:01
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
