Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Caio Borralho has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
- Caio Borralho has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26 Armen PetrosyanL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jun 23L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricArmen Petrosyan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.86Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+2.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Caio BorralhoArmen Petrosyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.7|Blue -48.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Caio BorralhoTargetArmen Petrosyan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Caio Borralho edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control4:24
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control2:47
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 3Armen Petrosyan edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:58
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
