Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Arnett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Arnett has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Humberto Bandenay (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Humberto BandenayL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Aug 17L
KOvs Gabriel Benitez · May 18L
DECvs Luiz Garagorri · Aug 19 Austin ArnettL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Jan 18L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Humberto BandenayMetricAustin Arnett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.57evenly matched on net striking-1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Humberto BandenayAustin Arnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Humberto Bandenay(4 fights)Austin Arnett(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -116.3|Blue +116.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Humberto BandenayTargetAustin Arnett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Humberto Bandenay rounds
Round 1Humberto Bandenay edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:02
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:31Control
Round 2Austin Arnett edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:13
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:02Control
Round 3Austin Arnett edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
