Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Grant Dawson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Manuel Torres is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Grant Dawson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Manuel Torres has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Manuel Torres has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant DawsonW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 26 Manuel Torres
oldest →W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 23W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Feb 24L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24W
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 25L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricManuel Torres
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap+3.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Grant DawsonManuel Torres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Manuel Torres(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.6|Blue -13.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Grant DawsonTargetManuel Torres
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Manuel Torres edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
