Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26 Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricAlexander Volkov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Curtis BlaydesAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.0|Blue +40.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -476.0|Blue +476.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Curtis BlaydesTargetAlexander Volkov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns5
Control4:52
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns3
Control4:02
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control3:53
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 4Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns3
Control3:39
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 5Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control3:26
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
