Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). David Branch has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Gerald Harris has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Harris (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald Harris
oldest →W
KOvs Mario Miranda · Mar 10L
vs Maiquel Falcao · Nov 10 David BranchL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Krzysztof Jotko · May 17L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Nov 18L
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald HarrisMetricDavid Branch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gerald HarrisDavid Branch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Harris(3 fights)David Branch(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +118.4|Blue -118.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gerald HarrisTargetDavid Branch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:23
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gerald Harris edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:29
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 3Gerald Harris edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control0:58
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
