Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kevin Holland has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19L
vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20W
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricAlessio Di Chirico
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin HollandAlessio Di Chirico
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +75.5|Blue -75.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -267.0|Blue +267.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin HollandTargetAlessio Di Chirico
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Alessio Di Chirico rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control1:28
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 2Alessio Di Chirico edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:51
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 3Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
