Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Rebecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Rebecki (53.5%).
- Roosevelt Roberts has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mateusz RebeckiL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 24W
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24L
vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25L
vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 26 Roosevelt RobertsL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Brok Weaver · May 20L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mateusz RebeckiMetricRoosevelt Roberts
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mateusz RebeckiRoosevelt Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mateusz Rebecki(8 fights)Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.0|Blue +16.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -672.0|Blue +672.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mateusz RebeckiTargetRoosevelt Roberts
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Roosevelt Roberts rounds
Round 1Mateusz Rebecki edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control2:14
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
