Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Alessio has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark Bocek
oldest →W
SUBvs Dustin Hazelett · Dec 10L
vs Benson Henderson · Apr 11L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 12W
vs Mike de la Torre · Apr 14 John Alessio
oldest →L
vs Shane Roller · Jul 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark BocekMetricJohn Alessio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark BocekJohn Alessio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Bocek(7 fights)John Alessio(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.7|Blue -138.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark BocekTargetJohn Alessio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mark Bocek edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns2
Control4:10
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mark Bocek edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control2:27
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Mark Bocek edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control3:05
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
