Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Bryan Caraway threatens submissions; Cody Stamann has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Bryan Caraway has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan Caraway
oldest →W
SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 14L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 15W
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18 Cody StamannL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22W
vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan CarawayMetricCody Stamann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.08Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bryan CarawayCody Stamann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Caraway(10 fights)Cody Stamann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -119.1|Blue +119.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +496.0|Blue -496.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bryan CarawayTargetCody Stamann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bryan Caraway edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:02
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:45
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control1:12
48Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
