Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24 Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricNiko Price
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim MeansNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +46.7|Blue -46.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -83.0|Blue +83.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim MeansTargetNiko Price
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Niko Price edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control1:50
Knockdowns0
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
