Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Young enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Shane Young is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alexander Volkanovski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24 Shane YoungL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Austin Arnett · Feb 19L
KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20L
vs Omar Morales · Mar 21L
vs Blake Bilder · Feb 23L
SUBvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkanovskiMetricShane Young
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.68Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander VolkanovskiShane Young
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)Shane Young(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.2|Blue +48.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander VolkanovskiTargetShane Young
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexander Volkanovski rounds
Round 1Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:49
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns3
Control2:31
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control4:01
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
