Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18 Michihiro OmigawaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Jun 11L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Jan 12L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Aug 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricMichihiro Omigawa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chad MendesMichihiro Omigawa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Michihiro Omigawa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.8|Blue -139.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chad MendesTargetMichihiro Omigawa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Michihiro Omigawa rounds
Round 1Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:16
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control1:54
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:06
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
