Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25 Robert Whittaker
oldest →W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricRobert Whittaker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.81evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Israel AdesanyaRobert Whittaker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -46.6|Blue +46.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Israel AdesanyaTargetRobert Whittaker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Israel Adesanya edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 4Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 5Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:38Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
