Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Sandoval has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Hector Sandoval has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wilson Reis
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 Hector Sandoval
oldest →W
vs Fredy Serrano · Dec 16W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Apr 17L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wilson ReisMetricHector Sandoval
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.21Δ 2.19 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Wilson ReisHector Sandoval
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wilson Reis(10 fights)Hector Sandoval(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Wilson ReisTargetHector Sandoval
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns3
Control1:04
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
