Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyrell Fortune has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin Tybura
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25 Tyrell Fortune
oldest →L
KOvs Rizvan Kuniev · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricTyrell Fortune
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin TyburaTyrell Fortune
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Tyrell Fortune(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.6|Blue -3.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin TyburaTargetTyrell Fortune
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tyrell Fortune edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:03Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:41
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:04Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
