Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lerone Murphy has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Edson Barboza · Oct 20L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23 Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makwan AmirkhaniMetricLerone Murphy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.65Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Makwan AmirkhaniLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -80.4|Blue +80.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -136.0|Blue +136.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Makwan AmirkhaniTargetLerone Murphy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Makwan Amirkhani edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns5
Control4:05
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
