Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Robbie Lawler is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Robbie Lawler has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Robbie Lawler has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robbie Lawler
oldest →L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
vs Colby Covington · Aug 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22 Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robbie LawlerMetricNiko Price
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Robbie LawlerNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robbie Lawler(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +54.1|Blue -54.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Robbie LawlerTargetNiko Price
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Robbie Lawler edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
