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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sean Woodson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1517
Elo1411
Collin Anglin

Sean WoodsonvsCollin AnglinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Woodson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:30

Style matchupSean Woodson: Pressure fightervsCollin Anglin: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sean Woodson wins(72.7%)

Actual result: Sean Woodson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Woodson at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Collin Anglin has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Sean Woodson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sean Woodson
Red Corner
VS
Collin Anglin
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1517
Elo
1411
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'9"
198.12 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean Woodson
oldest →
W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23
W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24
W
vs Alex Caceres · May 24
W
KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24
L
KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25
latest
Collin Anglin
oldest →
L
KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Jul 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean WoodsonMetricCollin Anglin
5.57
Strikes / min
4.59
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
5.54
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
2.28
84%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.34 — meaningful gap-0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1512 vs 1484Strikes5.6 vs 4.6Takedowns0.7 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs -1.0
Sean WoodsonCollin Anglin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Sean Woodson(9 fights)Collin Anglin(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +105.9|Blue -105.9
Recent Form
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean WoodsonTargetCollin Anglin

By target zone

23
38% acc · 46%
Head
4
15% acc · 50%
17
65% acc · 34%
Body
2
20% acc · 25%
10
91% acc · 20%
Leg
2
50% acc · 25%

By position

48
51% acc · 96%
Distance
8
20% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 4%
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Sean Woodson rounds
0
even
0
Collin Anglin rounds
Round 1Sean Woodson edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
50 / 98
Sig Strikes
8 / 40
51%
Sig Str %
20%
59 / 107
Total Strikes
8 / 40
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:24
Ctrl Time
0:13

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Collin Anglin8 / 408 / 400 / 10
1Sean Woodson50 / 9859 / 1070 / 00

Sean Woodson

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9

Collin Anglin

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2