Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cristian Quinonez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Kris Moutinho has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Cristian Quinonez has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cristian Quinonez has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kris Moutinho (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristian QuinonezL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Khalid Taha · Sep 22L
SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 23L
SUBvs Raoni Barcelos · Feb 24 Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jul 21L
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 22L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristian QuinonezMetricKris Moutinho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04Δ 5.97 — meaningful gap-6.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cristian QuinonezKris Moutinho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristian Quinonez(4 fights)Kris Moutinho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.9|Blue -57.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +476.0|Blue -476.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cristian QuinonezTargetKris Moutinho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Cristian Quinonez rounds
Round 1Cristian Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns2
Control1:01
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cristian Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns4
Control4:05
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 3Cristian Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
