Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claude Patrick has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claude Patrick has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Wilks
oldest →W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jun 10 Claude Patrick
oldest →W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 10W
vs Daniel Roberts · Apr 11L
vs Brian Ebersole · Dec 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James WilksMetricClaude Patrick
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.21Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James WilksClaude Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Wilks(2 fights)Claude Patrick(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James WilksTargetClaude Patrick
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Claude Patrick edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:14Control
Round 2Claude Patrick edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:33
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:54Control
Round 3Claude Patrick edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:15
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
