Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Bisping has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Michael Bisping has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael BispingL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Anderson Silva · Feb 16W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16W
vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16L
SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17 Thales Leites
oldest →L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael BispingMetricThales Leites
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael BispingThales Leites
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Bisping(10 fights)Thales Leites(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -128.5|Blue +128.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael BispingTargetThales Leites
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:31
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Thales Leites edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:04
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 4Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
