Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jacobe Smith is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Jacobe Smith has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jacobe Smith (53.5%).
- Niko Price has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niko PriceL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 23L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Jacobe SmithW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Preston Parsons · Jan 25W
KOvs Josiah Harrell · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niko PriceMetricJacobe Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 4.57 — meaningful gap+4.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niko PriceJacobe Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niko Price(10 fights)Jacobe Smith(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -100.7|Blue +100.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niko PriceTargetJacobe Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jacobe Smith edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:06Control
Round 2Jacobe Smith edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
