Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aspen Ladd is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Tonya Evinger has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Aspen Ladd has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Tonya Evinger has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aspen LaddL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 19L
KOvs Germaine De Randamie · Jul 19W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Dec 19L
vs Norma Dumont · Oct 21L
vs Raquel Pennington · Apr 22 Tonya EvingerL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cris Cyborg · Jul 17L
vs Lina Lansberg · Jun 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aspen LaddMetricTonya Evinger
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap-2.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aspen LaddTonya Evinger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aspen Ladd(7 fights)Tonya Evinger(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aspen LaddTargetTonya Evinger
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Aspen Ladd edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control1:53
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
