Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Te Huna has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Gustafsson has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alexander Gustafsson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22 James Te HunaL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 13L
KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 13L
SUBvs Nate Marquardt · Jun 14L
KOvs Steve Bosse · Mar 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander GustafssonMetricJames Te Huna
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)James Te Huna(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +73.9|Blue -73.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander GustafssonTargetJames Te Huna
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Alexander Gustafsson rounds
Round 1James Te Huna edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control0:58
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:54Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
